Mexico’s
foreign and environment ministries presented their emission´s goals for 2030,
sent to UN “Global War on Climate Change” headquarters.
The
Mexicans claimed their goals represent a 25 % reduction “versus the business as usual
case”. I found the slides (in Spanish) at
a Mexican government website, so I can confirm they pulled a fast one. They
assumed that “under business as usual” their emissions would increase
from 781 (2013) to 1110 (2030) million tons of CO2 equivalent. Then they
prepared a “goal” for 2030: 829 million tons.
Draw a
cartoon in your mind, 781, a line up to 1110, which sits on top of the 829.
Mexican
Mariachis singing a song
(photo from Reuters, Andrew Winning)
I went
ahead and interpolated the 2015 emissions levels: 817 million tons of CO2
equivalent. Their goal, 829 million tons, wow, that´s 1 %, a teensy bit over the 2015 figure.
Not bad for a country full of Catholics and Evangelicals who will have lots of
babies and are hoping to grow GDP by a whopping 3.3 % a year.