9/07/2015

Will the Arctic be ice free on September 20, 2025?

This is dedicated to the wishful thinkers who pray for an ice free Arctic as soon as possible, so they can get on with peddling medieval socialism and the "rescue of climate refugees": 

Al Gore giving his 2007 Nobel Climate Speech. 

From Al Gore's Nobel Climate Prize acceptance speech: 

"Last September 21 (2007), as the Northern Hemisphere tilted away from the sun, scientists reported with unprecedented distress that the North Polar ice cap is "falling off a cliff." One study estimated that it could be completely gone during summer in less than 22 years. Another new study, to be presented by U.S. Navy researchers later this week, warns it could happen in as little as 7 years."

I'm stuck in traffic, and I'm late for a climate prediction conference, but if I jump from the next overpass and fall on a truck full of cotton balls I can bounce right back up, get a free ride, and if there’s no other traffic jams, I’ll be just in time to give a speech about the probability that the Arctic will be ice free on September 21, 2029, which just as likely as me getting to that conference on time. 

The latest set of 2015 predictions is here: 


Here's a website where you can get polar projection of temperature and wind streamlines at any time (click on "Earth", and then on "Now" to download the latest supercomputer run): 

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