12/09/2018

Resource scarcity and overpopulation

Resource scarcity and overpopulation tend to solve themselves via population collapse due to epidemics, internal conflicts which lead to a total breakdown, or wars which cause a large number of deaths and reduce birthrates. 

In recent years we have seen this mechanism work in Rwanda, where genocide and war reduced population pressure, and Haiti, which seems to be a collapsed society sustained by charity and migration. 

While theoretically it's possible to overcome overpopulation and resource depletion, many nations are controlled by inept governments following the wrong recipes (see Venezuela for an extreme case of a marxist and gangster hybrid mentored by the Castro dictatorship wrecking a rich nation and causing 10-15% of the population to flee while killing hundreds of thousands from murder, hunger and disease). 

The Castro dictatorship ruined Cuba, and 
then its ideology jumped to Venezuela

The problem, as I see it, is that misgovernance and corruption are fairly common, and therefore in the next few decades we are likely to see more collapses, famines, wars, and epidemics caused by poor governance. To make matters even worse, richer nations such as many of the European Union members and the USA seem inclined to commit suicide by reducing their birthrates and simultaneously allowing themselves to be invaded by people fleeing misgoverned societies...which can be extrapolated to the eventual replacement of well governed societies by conflict ridden and badly governed constructs brought about by possibly well meaning but misguided political parties. This means that partial collapse of civilization may have already begun, and the world will eventually be ruled by smaller populations of survivor types such as Russians and Chinese. 

11/27/2018

The US State of the Climate Report

The US Government's state of the climate report is flawed. Its dire findings for the future are based on the use of a discredited CO2 emissions profile prepared by the IPCC called "RCP8.5.", climate models which exaggerate future temperatures due to internal parameterization inaccuracies and poor design, and a suspect carbon cycle model.

For example, here's a comparison of climate model predictions prepared using data as of year end 2017:


As you can see the full model family is running warmer than actual data. To make matters even worse, the case used by the government, RCP8.5, is at the highest or hottest of four cases developed by the IPCC.

 The regional predictions about weather events, the forest fire claims, the sea level rise projection, all of them are flawed and deserve low credibility. I sense that Obama created a government structure and bureaucracy so orthodox, rigid, and full of ideologues that it can no longer function professionally. Thus this report has to be discarded.

11/24/2018

Much ado about free speech?

This is my response to an opinion piece written by a Canadian University professor about free speech in universities.  The link to the article is here: 
A personal anecdote as we see in this article is invalid when the legal, regulatory, and burocratic system allows, or is specifically intended to encourage, censorship, abuse, and actual career harm of individuals who challenge the dominant paradigm or culture. 
Once the system has these built in deffects, the end point can easily be an Orwellian society such as I experienced when I grew up in Cuba under the Castro dictatorship. “Western society” is gradually being driven towards repression and abuses of individual freedom by a well crafted campaign, by a group which knows no limits, meaning they will never stop increasing the degree of repression and abuse unless they are pushed back. 
In this world there’s no such thing as static balance, it’s not possible to merely try to preserve a free society as it is, because it will inevitably be undermined by groups trying to impose autocracy and dictatorship. Societies need to be tweaked and strengthened to avoid what unfortunately is happening in recent decades. And this is a war we can easily lose.

11/19/2018

Chasing the international marxist network links

It's fairly simple: if a person is a member of the "Democratic Socialists of America" (DSA), and belongs to their New York branch (DSA-NY), then all you have to do is read several dozen webpages they themselves publish, and you will understand the intellectual core is marxist. You can also extend the effort and follow the named individuals on social media, read their blogs, and analyze the photos they publish. These are really useful, because the signs they make can reveal links to other organizations and ideas. Following these trails leads to an understanding that they work as a loose multinational network. I have researched portions of the network and can document the flow of funds from Venezuela to radical left parties in Europe and Latinamerica.


There have also been odd payments such as $18 million given to a famous Hollywood actor (Danny Glover) supposedly to make a movie about a Haitian slave revolt. A movie which was never made, and funds which were never accounted for.